Thank You CNN
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 4551
- Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2016 7:04 am
Re: Thank You CNN
Nomination Politico/Morning Consult poll (01/18-01/22)
Biden 26, Sanders 16, O'Rourke 6, Harris 9, Booker 4, Warren 6, Bloomberg 2, Castro 2, Gabbard, Brown 1, Gillibrand 2
Biden 26, Sanders 16, O'Rourke 6, Harris 9, Booker 4, Warren 6, Bloomberg 2, Castro 2, Gabbard, Brown 1, Gillibrand 2
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 4551
- Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2016 7:04 am
Re: Thank You CNN
EAllusion wrote:On a related note, almost immediately after announcing her candidacy, she's drawing in a ton of fundraising and shot way up to the top of Daily Kos's straw poll, which is often a decent proxy for support of left wing voters in the Dem coalition. I'm sure you're likely to interpret any success she has as a self-fulling prophecy, but really, this is because she's well-positioned within the Dem coalition.
So far Kamala Harris isn't doing so well and her CNN Super Pac isn't helping her a lot.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/09/us/p ... nding.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6730.html
And I suspect that most of the democratic primary voters watch CNN.
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 18519
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2007 12:39 pm
Re: Thank You CNN
DoubtingThomas wrote:EAllusion wrote:On a related note, almost immediately after announcing her candidacy, she's drawing in a ton of fundraising and shot way up to the top of Daily Kos's straw poll, which is often a decent proxy for support of left wing voters in the Dem coalition. I'm sure you're likely to interpret any success she has as a self-fulling prophecy, but really, this is because she's well-positioned within the Dem coalition.
So far Kamala Harris isn't doing so well and her CNN Super Pac isn't helping her a lot.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/09/us/p ... nding.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6730.html
And I suspect that most of the democratic primary voters watch CNN.
The first link shows that she is in 5th place in small dollar online donations. Since it is narrowly focused on that subject, it doesn't mention donations over all. The second link shows her polling in 3rd in the 999 candidate gauntlet that is the Dem primary. Neither of these things constitute "not doing well."
If you want an example of cable news manufacturing support for a candidate, look at Howard Schultz. Polling showed his positive approval rating at 5% and negative at 50%. He has no natural constituency nor any attachment to any political apparatus. He's just rich and holds the specific type of centrist views that middle-brow journalists tend to like. That's it. And he was allowed to go on what amounted to cable news speaking tour to campaign for himself and even got a nationally televised town hall on CNN. This is something several major Democratic candidates don't get and several minor ones could only dream of.
Saying Harris appears to be at the top of the ladder in forecasting in a crowded field is a responsible forecasting assessment. Harris still tops betting markets.
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 4551
- Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2016 7:04 am
Re: Thank You CNN
EAllusion wrote:The first link shows that she is in 5th place in small dollar online donations. Since it is narrowly focused on that subject, it doesn't mention donations over all. The second link shows her polling in 3rd in the 999 candidate gauntlet that is the Dem primary. Neither of these things constitute "not doing well."
Not doing well as the front runner. I never seen a front runner behind potential candidates that haven't announced running for office.
Biden 29, Sanders 16, Harris 11, O'Rourke 7, Warren 8, Bloomberg 4, Booker 4, Castro 1, Brown 1, Klobuchar 2, Gillibrand 1, Gabbard 1
EAllusion wrote:Saying Harris appears to be at the top of the ladder in forecasting in a crowded field is a responsible forecasting assessment. Harris still tops betting markets.
Yes, I am also willing to bet money that she is going to end up at the top because she has a Super Pac known as CNN.
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 4551
- Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2016 7:04 am
Re: Thank You CNN
Chris Cillizza needs to get fired.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Biden 27, Sanders 25, Harris 7, Warren 9, O'Rourke 5, Booker 3, Klobuchar 3, Castro 1, Gillibrand 0, Inslee 1
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 4551
- Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2016 7:04 am
Re: Thank You CNN
EAllusion wrote:DoubtingThomas wrote: if the primary were today Harris would have no chance of winning in California.
This is very wrong. Did you learn anything from being really, really wrong about Bernie Sanders again and again?
According to the most recent poll KGTV-TV/SurveyUSA 8/1 - 8/5 Sanders is beats Harris by one percentage point in California. Same result on a Quinnipiac 4/3 - 4/8 poll in April.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6879.html
She was never a front-runner.
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 4551
- Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2016 7:04 am
Re: Thank You CNN
EAllusion wrote:It's their horse race power ranking
When is Bernie Sanders getting a free 12 minute ad on CNN?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eQetsFymUp4
-
- _Emeritus
- Posts: 13326
- Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2011 12:50 pm
Re: Thank You CNN
Old, white, and career politicians.
1. Biden 76yo, 4 residences, net worth +$1m
2. Sanders 77yo, 3 residences, net worth +$1m
3. Warren 70yo, 2 residences, net worth +$18m
waaay to go Dems!
1. Biden 76yo, 4 residences, net worth +$1m
2. Sanders 77yo, 3 residences, net worth +$1m
3. Warren 70yo, 2 residences, net worth +$18m
waaay to go Dems!
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
Re: Thank You CNN
subgenius wrote:Old, white, and career politicians.
1. Biden 76yo, 4 residences, net worth +$1m
2. Sanders 77yo, 3 residences, net worth +$1m
3. Warren 70yo, 2 residences, net worth +$18m
waaay to go Democrats!
However, it is great when Republicans field a candidate in his seventies, right?
Pete Buttigieg may be the youngest, but he compensates by also being the smartest. Trump, on the other hand, is decompensating in a dramatic way.
I don't like Kamala Harris at all. She was insufferably rude to Joe Bidden. She's a poop head.
Cry Heaven and let loose the Penguins of Peace