Analytics wrote:Personally, I don't believe they are "faking it." But I do believe you are making a fundamental error by ascribing any weight, at all to their "firm/powerful testimonies" and to thinking that this evidence for the church and is something that needs to be explained. Over the last couple of decades, a ton of research has been done on how well humans think and in what ways they fail to think in a logical, sound manner. An entire library of specific cognitive biases that predictably cause people to believe and act irrationally has been well-described and proven to exist. It turns out that human beings are very susceptible to believing all sorts of things that are false, and that they are prone to believe such things strongly. Even smart people. In fact, it turns out that people with A-type personalities who are natural leaders are especially susceptible to cognitive bias and having too much confidence in their wrong answers.
When you examine the Mormon religion from the perspective of sociology, it's as if the rituals Mormons go through were deliberately designed in order to exploit known cognitive biases for the benefit of the Church itself.
General authorities are great men who are absolutely certain the Church is true. Donald Trump is a great man who is absolutely certain that Obama was born in Kenya. The confidence they have in their respective beliefs is commensurate, as is how much weight we should give it.
There are a few examples in Mormon history where we may gain some insight into how the brethren deal with information that conflicts with their views. One that comes immediately to mind is the debate around evolution when two clear camps developed over the issue.
If we look at the debate over evolution between Joseph Fielding Smith (siding against evolution) and B.H. Roberts along with James E. Talmage who favored the evidence for evolution, we basically see the leadership deciding to bury their heads into the sand and not take a position. Not because the evidence is ambiguous, but because the evidence in favor was strong but the implications for Mormonism were bad.
I think that's rather representative when we wonder just how informed or rational the support for the church is among the GA's. I think at best it's based on a decision like you noted about Hinckley and McKay, at worst a belligerent attitude towards the issues as Fielding Smith demonstrated towards evolution. I get the sense Elder Oaks is the belligerent type.
These links include a nice summary of the evolution debate worth the time to read them:
http://signaturebookslibrary.org/?p=7079
http://signaturebookslibrary.org/?p=7109